Forecast

Price forecasting in opaque and complex markets is the heart of Noreva’s mission. By incorporating proven trading activity into AI-enhanced fundamental analysis, Noreva forecasts are prepared to address real-world conditions.

Methodology Update – SPP, MISO Capacity Price

Noreva long-term forecasting is also available for the other elements of the energy revenue stack, and is used by developers, investors, banks and trading firms.

With traditional power forecasting challenged by the dynamic conditions of renewed demand growth and the historic capital allocations to data center energy infrastructure, Noreva’s trade-aligned and AI-enhanced price forecasting methodologies are actionable across every part of the power business.

Capacity pricing, an increasingly important consideration in many US power markets, is available across all organized RTOs at unprecedented duration. Noreva’s proprietary trading view and rapid-response modeling techniques have been used to support long-term capacity risk management and project financing, and are available on both a subscription and a custom basis.

Price forecasts are available in multiple units and at multiple levels of market activity, from annualized across an RTO or geography to hourly dispatch at individual zones and nodes.

Methodology Update – SPP, MISO Capacity Price 2

Noreva provides bankable merchant curve forecasts for every major renewable energy credit (REC) market as part of its full-stack energy revenue solution.

Traditional merchant curve methodologies are entirely fundamentals-based and are primarily geared to public data sources that are often lagging or subject to revisions. Noreva’s curves originate in a supply and demand view that aggregates multiple sources and proprietary databases accrued over a 15 year history as Karbone Research.

In an increasingly volatile and dynamic market for environmental attributes, Noreva is uniquely able to reflect in its REC modeling the impact of policy shifts and rule changes, relying on a deep and comprehensive proprietary trade data view.

Across compliance and voluntary RECs markets, Noreva’s unique approach results in core cases and data streams for client use. AI-enhanced tools provide options for rapid customizations and instant market-responsive insight.

Noreva LLC and its affiliates hereby disclaim that this website, which includes all information, data, and any additional links to documents contained herein, are for information only, and further, Noreva does not represent, guarantee, or warrant the accuracy and/or completeness of the information and data displayed on this website. Noreva shall not be held liable for any errors or omissions. In no event shall Noreva be liable to any party for any direct, indirect, incidental, punitive, or consequential damages as a result of the content displayed or referenced on this website even if notified of the possibility of such damages, or any other damages, as the result of the inaccuracy or incompleteness of any information or data contained herein.

Similarly, Noreva does not intend for the information or data included on this website to constitute formal recommendations or advice to potential clients, including without limitation any assurances of merchantability or applicability for a particular purpose or use, and interested parties should contact Noreva independently to inquire as to the application of Noreva services for the party’s interests.

Noreva is not obliged to update or regularly review this website and accepts no liability caused directly or indirectly by the website’s contents or timeliness of said contents.

The information and documents contained on this website reflect solely the opinions of Noreva and are not intended to represent the interests of any other party.